The Evidence Jury

Docket WF-24-118 / Workforce Decision Case

Standing Orders

Jury Instructions

Apply these to every exhibit. They are the same seven moves you practiced in the evidence module.

Separate what was observed from what was concluded. An exhibit often carries a fact and an interpretation in the same sentence. Split them before you weigh them.
Test relevance before reliability. A flawless measurement of the wrong thing is still the wrong thing.
Ask who produced this, why, and who is missing from it. Every dataset has a sampling frame. Somebody is always outside it.
Treat a pattern as a question, not a verdict. Two things moving together is the start of the inquiry.
Weight convergence over volume. Three independent sources pointing the same direction beat one loud source repeated three times.
State what would change your mind. If nothing would, you are not deliberating.
Set your standard of proof before you see the verdict options. Deciding how sure you need to be after you know what you want is how juries convict the innocent.

The Chain Rule

Most workforce recommendations are a chain of claims, not one claim. Your confidence in the recommendation cannot exceed your confidence in the weakest link. A very strong first link makes a chain feel strong. It does not make it strong.