Consuming AI Output Activity

Practice analyzing and responding to AI outputs. For each scenario, consider how you would Use, Evaluate, and Question the AI output before clicking "Next" to see our analysis.

AI Output Exercises
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6

Sales Forecast

"60% chance Product A sales will decline 15% in Q4"

Reflection Prompts:

  • How would you interpret this forecast? What does a "60% chance" really mean for planning purposes?
  • What additional context might you need to properly evaluate this prediction?
  • What organizational impacts should you consider before making decisions based on this forecast?

Answer Guide

USE: Sensemaking and Adaptability

Don't treat the forecast as a certainty. Instead, think about how it connects to your current knowledge:

  • Are marketing or customer behavior trends already pointing to a downturn?
  • Should you begin contingency planning (e.g., reducing production orders, adjusting marketing tactics)?

EVALUATE: Probabilistic Thinking and Practical Significance Awareness

  • 60% is a probability — not a guarantee. It's "more likely than not," but a 40% chance it won't happen is significant.
  • Also, is a 15% decline practically important? For some products, it might be small noise; for others, a big deal.

QUESTION: Ethical Reasoning and System Thinking

  • If you reduce inventory drastically based on this prediction, could it impact suppliers, customers, or employee hours unnecessarily?
  • Are you making decisions that treat people fairly given the uncertainty?

Exercises Completed!

Congratulations! You've completed all six exercises analyzing AI outputs using the U-E-Q framework. You've practiced applying critical thinking skills to various AI scenarios, from sales forecasts to employee analytics.

Remember to apply these skills in your real-world interactions with AI:

  • USE: How can you effectively interpret and apply the AI output?
  • EVALUATE: How reliable and valid is this AI output?
  • QUESTION: What broader implications and ethical considerations should be examined?

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