Greatness is debated endlessly in sports and business but without clear measures, it’s just noise. This article breaks down the formula for true greatness: peak performance, sustained excellence, and adaptability.
Traditional logic assumes certainty. AI gives you probabilities. Our brains are wired for yes-or-no answers, but we got a world of 'maybe-probably.' The rules changed from deterministic to probabilistic, but our reasoning didn't evolve. Learn why your old thinking tools feel brittle.
You're trained in inductive and deductive logic, but your AI gives you 78% confidence scores and your data conflicts. Traditional reasoning breaks down with modern complexity. Learn why smart leaders need Integrated Reasoning to handle uncertainty and make better decisions.
How to Measure Greatness in Sports and Business: A Data-Informed Formula for Success
Greatness is debated endlessly in sports and business but without clear measures, it’s just noise. This article breaks down the formula for true greatness: peak performance, sustained excellence, and adaptability.
Greatness isn't a title, it's a formula. If you can't measure it, you're just debating opinions.
Greatness is one of the most passionately debated topics in sports and business. Fans argue endlessly over who deserves the GOAT title, while business analysts debate whether explosive startups or steady incumbents represent true success. The problem? Everyone defines "greatness" differently, turning these debates into endless arguments that go nowhere.
Ask five people about the greatest car and you'll get five different answers: a Formula 1 fan picks speed, an environmentalist chooses sustainability, a collector values vintage luxury. They're all measuring "greatness" differently. This same confusion plagues sports and business discussions.
It's like walking into your analytics team and asking, "How was my marketing campaign?" You'll get a shrug and maybe some surface-level numbers. But ask "Which channels drove the highest conversion rates among 25-34 year olds?" and suddenly you get actionable insights. The same thing happens with greatness debates. Asking "Who's the greatest?" gets you nowhere, but asking "Who sustained elite performance longest while adapting to major changes?" gives you something you can actually measure and learn from.
The Three Pillars of True Greatness
After analyzing legends across sports and business, greatness consistently emerges from three measurable factors:
Peak Performance – Absolute dominance at your best
Sustained Excellence – Maintaining elite status over time
Adaptability – Evolving when circumstances change
Most debates focus only on the first two, ignoring the crucial third element. As Darwin observed: "It is not the strongest species that survive, but the ones most responsive to change." The dinosaurs dominated Earth until the environment shifted. Then smaller, adaptable mammals took over.
The same pattern repeats everywhere: Bo Jackson had incredible peak performance but couldn't adapt to injuries. WeWork achieved massive disruption but collapsed when it couldn't evolve. True greatness requires all three pillars.
The power of adaptability becomes clearer when we look beyond sports. Throughout history, the greatest achievements have come not from raw strength or initial brilliance, but from the ability to evolve under pressure. From evolutionary biology to wartime codebreaking, from space missions to artistic mastery, the same pattern emerges: those who adapt, endure.
Historical parallels reveal why adaptability separates legends from footnotes. Brady's career mirrors humanity's greatest adaptive triumphs evolving strategy under pressure rather than relying solely on initial advantages. Meanwhile, Mahomes represents the "perfect launch" phase that every great eventually faces: will he adapt like the masters before him, or fade when circumstances change?
Quantifying Sports Greatness: The Adaptive Greatness Score (AGS)
To move beyond subjective debates, we need objective measurement. The Adaptive Greatness Score (AGS) formula accounts for dominance, longevity, and adaptability while penalizing decline:
AGS = (P × W × L) + (A × S) - D
Where:
P (Peak Dominance) = Championships, MVPs, statistical dominance (1-10 scale)
W (Winning Impact) = Contribution to team success, clutch performance (1-10 scale)
L (Longevity Bonus) = Years at elite level
A (Adaptability) = Adjustments for age, rule changes, injuries (1-10 scale)
S (Sustained Performance) = Greatness across different eras/teams (1-10 scale)
D (Decline Penalty) = Subpar seasons that damaged legacy
Mahomes' peak dominance is undeniable, but Brady's longevity and adaptability, adjusting his playing style over two decades, elevate his greatness score significantly.
Click here if you want to see a more robust version of this visualization with additional functionality and instructions.
Quantifying Business Greatness: The Sustainable Excellence Score (SES)
Business greatness follows similar principles but emphasizes market impact and resilience:
SES = (I × M × S) + (A × R) - F
Where:
I (Innovation & Disruption) = How much they changed the industry (1-10 scale)
M (Market Impact) = Revenue, market cap, global influence (1-10 scale)
S (Sustained Success) = Years of market dominance
A (Adaptability) = Successful pivots to new markets/technologies (1-10 scale)
R (Resilience) = Surviving crises and economic downturns (1-10 scale)
F (Failure Penalty) = Major collapses, fraud, sustainability issues
Click here if you want to see the business version of our greatness matrix visualization.
Amazon vs. WeWork: A Tale of Two Approaches
Amazon: SES = (9×10×25) + (10×9) - 0 = 2,340 WeWork: SES = (8×7×5) + (3×2) - 20 = 266
Amazon's methodical evolution from bookstore to cloud computing giant demonstrates sustained adaptability. WeWork's explosive growth without operational discipline led to spectacular failure despite initial market disruption.
The Greatness Matrix. Four Categories of Success
Combining these metrics reveals four distinct patterns:
Sports: Michael Jordan, Tom Brady, Serena Williams
Business: Amazon, Microsoft, Apple
Pattern: Continuous reinvention maintaining relevance over decades
Long-Term Players (Longevity Without Elite Performance)
Sports: Vince Carter, Frank Gore (productive but not dominant in later years)
Business: Companies that survive but lose market leadership
Flash in the Pan (Brief Success, No Sustainability)
Sports: One-hit wonder seasons
Business: Failed startups that burned bright and fast
The Adaptability Advantage
What separates true greatness from temporary success? The ability to evolve when the game changes.
Brady's career resembles the Apollo 13 mission. When things went wrong, he found ways to adapt and continue. Mahomes currently looks like a perfectly designed rocket at launch, but his real test will come when he faces adversity and must reinvent his approach.
Similarly, Amazon succeeded not just because of early e-commerce dominance, but because it continually evolved, adding cloud services, streaming, logistics, and more. WeWork failed because it couldn't adapt its business model when scrutiny increased.
Why This Framework Matters
These formulas aren't perfect. Greatness contains subjective elements that no equation fully captures. However, this approach provides structured, transparent reasoning instead of endless opinion-based arguments. It forces us to define what we mean by greatness and measure it consistently.
More importantly, it reveals a crucial insight often overlooked in our instant-gratification culture: sustainable greatness requires constant adaptation, not just initial brilliance.
Whether you're an athlete, entrepreneur, or organization, the lesson is clear: Peak performance gets you noticed. Sustained excellence gets you remembered. But adaptability, the rarest ingredient, makes you truly great.
This same adaptability framework applies directly to your career in our rapidly changing workplace. Just as Brady evolved from game manager to statistical wizard, today's professionals must evolve from gut-feel decision makers to data-driven analysts. While technical skills become obsolete every few years, the ability to evolve your approach, learn new frameworks, and reinvent your value proposition remains permanently relevant. Whether you're mastering AI tools, transitioning industries, or navigating remote work, the Brady playbook applies: diagnose what's changing, adapt your methods, and sustain excellence through the transition.
Greatness isn't about avoiding change, it's about mastering it. The formula is clear; now it's time to apply it.
Kevin is an author, speaker, and thought leader on topics including data literacy, data-informed decisions, business strategy, and essential skills for today. https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevinhanegan/
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